As the United States enters day four of Operation Epic Fury—its sweeping military campaign against Iran, launched in partnership with Israel—the financial toll on American taxpayers is beginning to come into focus to budget watchers in the Beltway and academia. According to Kent Smetters, director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM) and one of the nation’s foremost fiscal analysts, the total economic cost of the strikes could reach as high as $210 billion.
伊朗政权的稳固不依赖单一领袖的个人魅力，而是植根于一个与政权深度绑定、利益共生的核心利益集团。这个核心利益集团以革命卫队为绝对核心，紧密联结教士阶层、准国有经济集团，以及海量受益于现有体制补贴和福利体系的社会群体，形成了一张覆盖经济、军事、宗教、社会的利益大网。最高领袖的权力基础在于对这一“赢者联盟”的资源分配能力，而非广泛的群众动员。
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